Mike Conley

NBA Targets: February 13th

Mike Conley faces off against the Nets who are giving up the most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards.
BY: ARMANDO MARSAL | DRAFTKINGS PLAYBOOK

We tip off the week with a nice 11-game slate and plenty of options to choose from, so let’s jump into some of tonight’s targets to consider.

POINT GUARD

Stud

Mike Conley ($7,700) – Although some of the heavy hitters are on the slate, I am really intrigued by Conley tonight. He faces off against the Nets who are giving up the most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. In addition, they play paced up and are ranked 26th in defensive efficiency. Conley has displayed his 60+ fantasy point upside and offers a steady floor, making him a nice option in both tournaments and cash games.

Other Options – Russell Westbrook $12,700, John Wall $10,500, Stephen Curry $10,000

Value

Dennis Schroder ($6,600) – Schroder heads into tonight’s game having scored 30+ fantasy points in three of his last four, including a 50+ and 40+ fantasy point outing. He has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games and gets a favorable matchup tonight. Portland is giving up over 50 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards and they rank 27th in defensive efficiency. That being said, he is a tournament only play for me due to his volatility and low floor, as he has also scored fewer than 20 fantasy points in three of his last 10 games.

Other Options – George Hill $6,100, Tyler Johnson $5,500, Jameer Nelson $5,400 (if Mudiay is out)


SHOOTING GUARD

Stud

Nicolas Batum ($7,900) – Batum continues to play well, eclipsing 40 fantasy points in three consecutive games. During that stretch, he has averaged 19 points, 7.3 rebounds, 7.3 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.0 block per game. He faces off against the Sixers who have allowed the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards in their last 10 games. Of all the shooting guard options on the slate, Batum offers the steadiest floor. He contributes in just about every category and finds many ways to score fantasy points.

Other Options – Bradley Beal $7,300, Devin Booker $6,900, Klay Thompson $6,700

Value

Victor Oladipo ($6,300) – His price has climbed, but that is due to his production. In his last 10 games, Oladipo has exceeded expectations 80 percent of the time by an average of 6.33 points. During that stretch, he has averaged 34.7 minutes, 16.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.8 steals per game, while topping 30 fantasy points seven times. He faces off against the Wizards, a team he fared well against earlier this season. In that contest, he scored 25 points with six boards and six dimes, which was good for 45 fantasy points. This contest should be up-tempo, creating extra potential touch opportunities for Oladipo. He has what it takes to hit 6X at this price, making him an enticing tournament play for me.

Other Options – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5,200, Seth Curry $4,700, Tony Allen $4,600


SMALL FORWARD

Stud

Gordon Hayward ($7,700) – Hayward is on a nice run, scoring more than 40 fantasy points in five of his last six games, including a 50 burger during that span. In those games, he has averaged 34.3 minutes, 29 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.5 steals and 2.7 three-pointers per game. During that stretch, he also owns a 30 percent usage rate compared to his 27.9 percent season average. Lastly, this matchup is one that favors him, as the Clippers are giving up the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. If you are taking a balanced approach tonight, he should fit in nicely with your lineup construction.

Other Options – Kevin Durant $9,900, Kawhi Leonard $8,900

Value

T.J. Warren ($5,000) – Warren is averaging 29.2 minutes, 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds, 1.1 steals and 24.2 fantasy points per game over his last seven. He has played at least 28 minutes in all but one game and has topped 26 fantasy points in five of those games, while eclipsing 30 fantasy points twice during that stretch. He faces off against the Pelicans, who he has fared well against this season, scoring 35.5 fantasy points in both meetings. New Orleans has surrendered the fifth most fantasy points per game to small forwards in their last 10 games. Both of these teams play up in pace, so there should be plenty of touch opportunities for Warren.

Other Options – Harrison Barnes $6,000, Marcus Morris $5,200, Dario Saric $5,200


POWER FORWARD

Stud

Paul Millsap ($7,600) – Millsap draws a good matchup against Portland, who is yielding the third most fantasy points per game to power forwards. They are also ranked 27th in defensive efficiency and are allowing 44.7 rebounds per game with a -1.8 differential. His rebounding has been down as of late, but this is a good spot to get back on track. With that said, he has scored over 20 points in three of his last four games and has topped 40 fantasy points in back-to-back games, so he has still been productive.

Other Options – Blake Griffin $9,000, Draymond Green $7,800, LaMarcus Aldridge $6,700

Value

Zach Randolph ($5,600) – Randolph has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in three of his last four games and has two double-doubles in that span. He gets a great matchup against the Nets, who are giving up the most fantasy points, fourth most points, third most rebounds, second most steals and most blocks per game to power forwards. In addition, they rank 26th in defensive efficiency and play at the fastest pace in the league. Brooklyn is surrendering the second most rebounds per game (47.8) with a -3.8 differential. The one thing that is worrisome is the fact the Randolph does not play huge minutes on a nightly basis. However, he still makes for an enticing tournament play in my opinion, as he could smash value in limited minutes in this favorable matchup.

Other Options – Al-Farouq Aminu $5,500, Ersan Ilyasova $5,400, Jon Leuer $4,400


CENTER

Stud

Nikola Vucevic ($7,100) – Vucevic has fared well against the Heat this season, averaging 21.5 points, 13 rebounds, three assists, one block, one steal and 46.8 fantasy points against them. He has not scored fewer than 44 fantasy points in any of their two meetings. Miami is yielding over 50 fantasy points per game to centers, as well as 21 points and 14.7 rebounds per game. Vucevic is all but a lock to get a double-double and offers a steady floor to go along with decent upside.

Other Options – Anthony Davis $11,000, Nikola Jokic $9,200, Hassan Whiteside $8,100

Value

Marcin Gortat ($6,100) – Gortat has topped 35 fantasy points in eight consecutive games and has seven double-doubles during that stretch. He has been a model of consistency and remains reasonably priced. The Thunder have done well against centers this season, but are yielding over 50 fantasy points per game against opposing bigs in their last five. Gortat topped 30 fantasy points the one time he faced Oklahoma City this season, so there is no reason why he cannot do so again.

Other Options – Tyson Chandler $5,100 (check status), Dewayne Dedmon $4,900, Ed Davis $3,000 (if he starts)

Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. Click here to view the original article at DraftKings Playbook.