MLB TARGETS: APRIL 27TH

Thursday’s main slate includes the second half of a Toronto/St. Louis doubleheader, making it a four-game evening slate.
BY: RYAN NOONAN | DK PLAYBOOK

PITCHER

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Stud

Chris Sale – BOS vs. NYY – $12,900 – With the way Chris Sale has pitched to open the season, he’d be the chalk on a 12-game slate, so he’s truly the bee’s knees on a four-gamer. Sale has averaged 34 DraftKings points per start this season and appears to be back to form after changing his approach slightly in 2016. It’s not a great matchup against the Yankees, but Chris Sale is matchup proof on a four-game slate.

Value

Adam Wainwright – STL vs. TOR – $8,500 – Up $2,500 after his last outing, it’s difficult to make the case for Adam Wainwright as a value play, but there just isn’t much meat on the bone in terms of pitching values. Wainwright and the Cardinals are a sizable favorite here and the Jays have the lowest implied-team total on the slate. Perhaps he’ll see a weakened lineup as well since this will be the second game of a doubleheader.


CATCHER

Stud

Yadier Molina – STL vs. TOR – $3,500 – Yadier Molina will likely get one of the two games off, but if he’s playing here he’s a safe cash game play. He’s swinging it well of late, with a hit in seven of his last eight games played, and the Cardinals have a healthy 4.8 implied-team total.

Value

Austin Hedges – SD vs. ARI – $3,000 – Playing in Arizona is a great park shift for Hedges and his Padres’ teammates. It’s enhanced with the matchup against Taijuan Walker who, when he’s not right, allows a strong amount of fly balls. I don’t think San Diego grinds out a bunch of hits here, but the long ball might come into play often.


FIRST BASE

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Stud

Wil Myers – SD vs. ARI – $5,000 – Ah, another Padres’ bat, a theme you’ll see a few more times I believe. Again, I don’t hate Taijuan Walker here, but he’s homer-prone and Wil Myers has power regardless of the handedness of the pitcher he’s facing.

Other Options – Paul Goldschmidt ($5,500)

Value

Matt Carpenter – STL vs. TOR – $4,400 – Dating back to the start of last season, Matt Carpenter has a .386 wOBA and 143 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, most with better resumes than Toronto’s Casey Lawrence who Carpenter will face Thursday night.


SECOND BASE

Stud

Yangervis Solarte – SD vs. ARI – $4,000 – Yangervis Solarte’s game won’t ‘wow’ you, but he’s a steady contributor with an above average contact rate that keeps him hitting near the top of the lineup every day. He’s a viable cash game play here on the road getting nine innings of at-bats.

Value

Jed Lowrie – OAK vs. LAA – $3,000 – Jed Lowrie is in play if he’s hitting near the top of Oakland’s order on Thursday. He doesn’t hit for much power from the left-hand side of the plate, but he’s a cheaper version of Solarte who’s capable of piecing together a few hits for your cash lineups.


THIRD BASE

Stud

Jake Lamb – ARI vs. SD – $4,600 – I think Jake Lamb will be the most popular play on this slate not named Chris Sale. The Diamondbacks have a huge implied-team total at six runs, and Lamb’s .374 wOBA and .281 ISO against right-handed pitching dating back to 2016 bodes poorly for egg tossing champion, Jered Weaver.

Value

Jedd Gyorko – STL vs. TOR – $3,600 – Jedd Gyorko is on a bit of a heater, so it’s time to strike while the iron’s hot. Hitting cleanup behind Matt Carpenter, Gyorko is in a prime spot to contribute to St. Louis’ 4.8 implied-team total on the slate, and Gyorko has always had elite power even though his current .340 batting average is unsustainable.


SHORTSTOP

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Stud

Aledmys Diaz – STL vs. TOR – $4,200 – Diaz crushes right-handed pitching and is firmly in play for both cash games and tournaments here. His 147 wRC+ against right-handers is top-20 in all of baseball since the start of 2016, and his minuscule 13% strikeout rate helps raise his floor for cash games.

Value

Andrelton Simmons – LAA vs. OAK – $3,100 – I think Aledmys Diaz is the play at the position, but if you’re fading the Cardinals’ bats I could see the appeal of Simmons on this shortened slate. He’s swinging it well right now, with hits in seven of his last eight, including four multi-hit games.


OUTFIELD

Stud

Mike Trout – LAA vs. OAK – $5,700 – It’s a hefty price to pay for any bat, but Trout has delivered of late, with double-digit fantasy points in nine of his last 11 games. The price may drive down his ownership, making him an intriguing piece of the puzzle for this four-game slate.

Other Options – Mookie Betts ($5,400), A.J. Pollock ($4,800)

Value

David Peralta – ARI vs. SD – $3,800 – Hitting near the top of the order for a team with a six-run implied-team total should get your attention. Peralta’s spot in the lineup makes him a safe cash game play at this price, but he has enough upside for your GPP lineups as well. Over his past 640 at-bats against right-handed pitching, essentially a full season’s worth of at-bats, Peralta has a .378 wOBA and .202 ISO.

Other Options – Andrew Benintendi ($3,700), Hunter Renfroe ($3,600) 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.